Final Top Line (Mid-State) Results

WHTM Channel 27/Susquehanna Polling Fall 2006 Poll

Conducted October 31 – November 1, 2006

Sample Size 300

 

INTRODUCTION:  We are conducting a survey of attitudes and opinions concerning some important issues facing Pennsylvania today. May we have a few minutes of your time to complete the survey?

 

Great, thank you…

 

F1: On a scale anywhere from 1 to 10, please rank your chances of voting in the general election for United States Senate and Governor on Tuesday, November 7th, with “1” meaning you are not  planning to vote and “10” meaning you will definitely be voting.  (IF FIVE OR LOWER TERMINATE CALL)                          

                                                  

1. Six-Nine

07%

2. Ten

93%

 

 

Q1. What would you say is the single most important problem facing Pennsylvania today? That is, the one that you would like to see resolved by your state elected officials. (DO NOT READ CHOICES – ONE ANSWER ONLY)                        

                                                                                       

1. Taxes

40%

2. Drugs/crime/violence   

01%

3. Economy/jobs/employment

08%

4. Growth/development/traffic

01%

5. Streets/roads/transportation

01%

6. Politicians/government

10%

7. Open space/land preservation

01%

8. Prescription drugs/healthcare

08%

9. Medicare/social security                           

01%

10. Education/schools

06%

11. Gas/energy prices

00%

12. Terrorism/National Security

01%

13. War in Iraq

02%

14. Morality/family values       

05%

15. Immigration              

01%

16. Undecided/none   

10%

17. Other

05%

 

 

Q2.  Do you approve or disapprove of the job George W. Bush is doing as President?

 

 

 

Oct 1

%Ch  

1. Approve

46%

42%

+4

2. Disapprove

43%

53%

-10

3. Undecided

10%

05%

+5

4. Refuse

01%

00%

+1

 

 

Q3. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Ed Rendell is doing as governor?

 

 

 

Oct 1

%Ch

1. Approve

44%

59%

-15

2. Disapprove

45%

31%

+14

3. Undecided

11%

09%

+2

4. Refuse

00%

01%

-1

                        

 

Thinking ahead to the general elections next Tuesday, November 7th…

 

Q4. If the general election for United States Senate were being held today would you vote for Rick Santorum, the Republican candidate or Bob Casey, Jr., the Democrat candidate?

 

 

 

Oct 1

%Ch

1. Santorum

48%

41%

+7

2. Casey

43%

48%

-5

3. Undecided

07%

10%

-3

4. None/other

01%

01%

--

                        

 

Q5. If the general election for governor were being held today would you vote for Ed Rendell, the Democrat candidate or Lynn Swann the Republican candidate?

 

 

 

Oct 1

%Ch

1. Rendell

44%

45%

-1

2. Swann

45%

38%

+7

3. Undecided

09%

15%

-6

4. None/other

02%

02%

--

 

                        

Q6.  Have you recently seen anything on television about Rick Santorum or his campaign for United States Senate?

 

1. Yes

83%

2. No

16%

3. Undecided

01%

 

                                                    

 (IF YES, ASK Q7)

Q7. Has what you’ve seen about Rick Santorum given you a more favorable or more unfavorable opinion of him or has it had no impact on your opinion? (Test intensity….)

 

[N=250]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1. Much more favorable

06%

Total More Favorable: 

18%

2. Somewhat more favorable

12%

Total More Unfavorable: 

30%

3. Much more unfavorable

19%

 

 

4. Somewhat more unfavorable

11%

 

 

5. Undecided

01%

 

 

6. No impact

51%

 

 

 

 

Q8. Have you recently seen anything on television about Bob Casey, Jr. or his campaign for United States Senate?

 

1. Yes

81%

2. No

18%

3. Undecided

01%

 

                                                    

(IF YES, ASK Q9)

Q9. Has what you’ve seen about Bob Casey, Jr. given you a more favorable or more unfavorable opinion of him or has it had no impact on your opinion? (Test intensity….)

 

[N=242]

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

1. Much more favorable

07%

    Total More Favorable: 

22%

2. Somewhat more favorable

15%

Total More Unfavorable:

19%

3. Much more unfavorable

08%

 

 

4. Somewhat more unfavorable

11%

 

 

5. Undecided

02%

 

 

6. No impact

57%

 

 

 

 

Q10. Are you registered to vote as a Republican, Democrat, Independent or something else?

 

1. Republican

58%

2. Democrat

30%

3. Independent/other

09%

4. Refuse

03%

 

 

Q11. What is your approximate age according to the following brackets: 18 - 29, 30 - 44, 45 – 59 or 60 and over?

 

1. 18-29

06%

2. 30-44

21%

3. 45-59

41%

4. 60+

32%

 

 

THANK YOU FOR YOUR PARTICIPATION IN THE SURVEY.  HAVE A GOOD NIGHT

 

Gender:

 

1. Male  

51%

2. Female

49%

 

 

Areas:

 

1. Adams

05%

2. Cumberland

13%

3. Dauphin

17%

4. Franklin

08%

5. Lancaster

26%

6. Lebanon

07%

7. Perry

02%

8. York

22%

 

 

The margin of error for a sample size of 300 is +/-5.66%

 

 

THANK YOU FOR YOUR PARTICIPATION IN THE SURVEY. HAVE A GOOD DAY.